Saint Louis
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
332  Manuel de Backer SO 32:35
502  Matt Prest SO 32:55
557  Neal Fitzpatrick SR 33:01
789  Lance Mueller SO 33:27
1,010  Aaron Dugan FR 33:45
1,067  Wes Schoenthal SO 33:50
1,073  Hiob Gebisso JR 33:51
1,393  Dorrian Gordon SO 34:15
1,471  Sean Conlin SO 34:23
1,860  Colton Nettleton SO 34:55
2,014  Tannock Blair SO 35:10
2,459  Kevin Ganahl SO 36:13
National Rank #90 of 312
Midwest Region Rank #12 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 14.0%
Top 20 in Regional 99.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Manuel de Backer Matt Prest Neal Fitzpatrick Lance Mueller Aaron Dugan Wes Schoenthal Hiob Gebisso Dorrian Gordon Sean Conlin Colton Nettleton Tannock Blair
National Catholic Invitational 09/16 972 32:29 32:27 33:17 33:07 33:29 34:12 32:57 34:37
Bradley "Pink" Classic (Red) 10/14 1009 32:17 33:03 32:58 33:17 33:28 33:30 33:45 33:51 34:22 34:51 35:00
Atlantic 10 Championships 10/29 1008 32:27 32:53 32:43 33:18 34:19 34:09 33:46 34:23 34:34
Midwest Region Championships 11/11 1059 32:40 32:55 33:11 33:27 33:38 34:08 34:54





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 12.4 373 0.1 0.5 2.8 10.7 22.3 21.8 17.1 11.3 6.3 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Manuel de Backer 0.1% 196.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Manuel de Backer 42.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.6 1.9
Matt Prest 60.8 0.1 0.1
Neal Fitzpatrick 66.0
Lance Mueller 90.4
Aaron Dugan 110.0
Wes Schoenthal 113.6
Hiob Gebisso 116.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.5% 0.5 8
9 2.8% 2.8 9
10 10.7% 10.7 10
11 22.3% 22.3 11
12 21.8% 21.8 12
13 17.1% 17.1 13
14 11.3% 11.3 14
15 6.3% 6.3 15
16 4.4% 4.4 16
17 2.0% 2.0 17
18 0.6% 0.6 18
19 0.3% 0.3 19
20 20
21 0.1% 0.1 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Lamar 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0